Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 641.555776 720.531967 808.277800 913.519167 1037.002901 1178.138274 1352.860620
2025-02-16 519.432627 622.944730 748.277985 913.310613 1128.088089 1402.697408 1787.994634
2025-02-23 462.527737 578.752531 727.667739 936.617704 1229.191377 1635.427748 2263.208015
2025-03-02 419.502429 542.556164 707.410433 950.915618 1313.238143 1853.180214 2762.610921
2025-03-09 380.569475 505.330694 678.575646 945.490267 1363.435115 2025.433639 3229.532038
2025-03-16 345.700921 469.049344 645.488744 927.130753 1387.852036 2157.717328 3658.863230
2025-03-23 324.364192 449.429907 633.596477 938.110793 1458.783354 2378.333461 4309.287038
2025-03-30 297.469648 418.810183 601.517262 912.006116 1461.783359 2477.039663 4744.119236
2025-04-06 274.927334 392.682821 573.602518 888.854103 1465.459219 2576.050326 5207.985958
2025-04-13 254.323419 367.822113 545.297037 861.451907 1456.685138 2647.785398 5630.817474
2025-04-20 245.842605 361.220737 545.715766 883.836546 1544.869291 2936.326847 6693.353298
2025-04-27 235.022806 349.952813 537.247736 888.947089 1599.409448 3163.493061 7686.545357
2025-05-04 225.592189 341.028376 533.262830 904.509703 1683.761175 3493.618702 9189.028333
2025-05-11 213.718426 327.295411 519.995355 901.356292 1729.436726 3747.906784 10621.142901
2025-05-18 206.977592 321.620914 520.269782 924.533245 1837.487963 4193.700686 13031.516499
2025-05-25 199.518477 314.078475 516.363874 938.571460 1927.099838 4619.159839 15717.543291
2025-06-01 190.173646 302.523894 503.970785 933.238175 1968.898533 4920.673692 18143.265438
2025-06-08 180.064332 288.925767 486.604723 915.182266 1975.630825 5118.222761 20267.723451
2025-06-15 174.211718 282.604917 482.625661 925.980846 2059.492381 5595.878233 24441.878737
2025-06-22 164.692537 268.984667 463.380545 900.306632 2040.871044 5719.583404 26683.989997
2025-06-29 156.213082 256.813397 446.158653 877.533523 2026.825825 5858.234524 29240.714745
2025-07-06 147.905944 244.524615 427.898373 850.576228 1996.853520 5930.970078 31472.641986
2025-07-13 145.148849 242.509955 430.220826 872.597722 2113.831359 6622.577327 39803.580849